Can anyone outline any kind of process for predicting who will be invited to the ToC, and when? As far as I can tell I'm in 13th place at this point, and I have always assumed I'd be out of the running with only three wins, but enough friends and family are prodding me about this I figured I'd see what I could figure out. Do any of you know when they tape the shows? And when they make the decision on the cut-off? I can't quite put a finger on the details. Possibly/probably because I am not part of it
I suppose if I really had made it I'd have heard something.
I've been beaten, but I wrote this, so I'll post it.
They're not strictly annual any longer, but they are generally periodic. Conventional wisdom would suggest that this year's February ToC would be followed by a May one next year (which would likely tape in late March), but with the special Season 30 tournament apparently being planned, the next ToC seems (to me) likely to be put off until early season 31, like October or November (which I guess would probably be taped late summer 2014).
Predicting whether someone will make the next ToC is largely guesswork, based on what has happened in recent history. So I'm pessimistic in your case, since no 3xers have made the ToC since 2007, and two of the four ToCs since then didn't even have 3xer alternates (2009 had lowest earning 4xer Meredith Robbins in the #16 spot, and 2011 had 4xer Sara Heard as alternate, with 4xers Paul Wampler and Anthony Fox staying home). But then, the last time there was a tournament of past champions, the following ToC included five 3xers, a few of whose totals were below yours, so who knows? But if I were you, I'd do my best to put it out of my mind, and tell everyone else that it's probably over.