Paucle wrote: stevensmama wrote:
Does Mark ever
smile? If I'd won that much money I'd be grinning from ear to ear!
Ashton Kutcher smiles enough for both of them.
I know computing DD wagers in studio on the fly is tough but it seems to me that when the scores are...
with only an 800 clue left, wouldn't 5300 be the ideal wager? Correct gives you the lead even if leader gets final clue right, wrong gives a lock-tie, with the last clue helping third place not at all. If leader is satisfied to sit on his guaranteed victory, all you need to do is get FJ right to win (or share in win). Of course, everything hinges on what leader does with $800 clue!
Oh yeah, I screwed up my above post because I thought the last clue was $400, not $800, which was just mentioned by thejeopardyfan. I definitely wouldn't advise anyone to make that $5,300 bet, because if you miss and the leader gets the last clue you are toast. By trying to get $800 ahead, then even if Mark gets the last clue, they would have been tied at $18,200, and both looking at a $36,400 payday with correct responses in FJ. Of course, if you are in Tom's shoes and you watched Mark play Monday's game, I can't imagine you'd be all that excited about facing him again on Wednesday, even if Tom did more than hold his own in this game.
So given time to think about, I would probably say that the ideal wager in that situation would have been at least one dollar over $4,200, but no more than $4,900. Actually, I think $4,900 might be the perfect bet, because a miss leaves the scores $17,400--$9,100--$7,600. Then even if Mark gets the last $800 clue, you are sitting at exactly half of his score, so you are likely playing FJ all by yourself with a chance to take home $18,200 and get to play Mark again tomorrow.
Again, I should repeat that I thought a lot about this, and I would never expect a contestant to be able to weigh all of those factors when facing a Daily Double bet. Tom's wager of $4,200 was definitely strategically sound, even if my recommendation of $4,900 does have one additional upside.