Elijah Baley wrote:For a tourney where a lot of the kids have been making fairly savvy FJ wagers, that was a very rough moment for Connor and Emily. It just goes to show the importance of wagering strategy.
We all understand that a player in Emily’s position should bet small enough to keep Connor locked out, knowing that Alec will have to make a big shutout bet and just hoping he misses the question. But I also have to wonder if players in that position (and especially young kids like these) aren’t perhaps influenced by Alex’s stupid “they have to guard against each other” remark. No, Alex: Alec has to guard against Emily, but Emily doesn’t have to guard against Alec; she just has to sit tight and hope to win by jujitsu. The time when the two leaders really do have to “guard against each other” is when all three scores are close going into FJ—not in a game like this where they’re close to each other but the third player trails a long way behind.
I get it that Alex is just trying to say something encouraging for Connor’s benefit and to create a sense of drama for the viewing audience. The players should just ignore him and think for themselves about their wagering strategy; but I also think he may be inappropriately planting a seed of bad strategy in a player like Emily’s mind. After all his years on the show, he should have a better understanding of his own damn game. I just about bust a gut every time I hear him say it; he ought to just cut it the hell out.