dhkendall wrote:MDCSWildcats86 wrote:I like Sallie. she reminds me of a girl I knew when I was a teenager named Christy Ragsdale.
Count me as another member of Sallie's fan club. Her enthusiasm was great, I'm sure Maggie adored her! This combining her being the same age as my daughter (she'll be 11 in a few weeks) made her be my cheering choice. That's probably why she lost.
Sallie was a hoot and half. Like you, I predicted she'd get her money back on that "joint ownership" response. That was an impressive retro-get.
Sadly for Sallie fans, a better FJ wager would have let us see her again. I blame her parents for not teaching her how to wager from 2nd.
In fact, returning to my pet peeve, Sallie's prospects could have been even better had Aarin not been allowed to keep the $600 for "partnership" after "joint ownership" was wrongly negged. Here were the scores going into FJ:
Code: Select all
GOOD BET(S) SCORE ON MISS SCORE ON GET
John: $16600 $7001 (MSB) $9599 $23601
Sallie: $11800 $2200/$3401 $9600/$8399 $14000/$15201
Aarin: $7600 $4201/$7600 $3399/$0 $11801/$15200
Notice how Sallie has to choose between winning on a miss and shutting out Aarin. She can't have it both ways. Either she makes the first bet and stays above John's $9599 even if she gets FJ wrong. Or she makes the second bet to shut Aarin out and has to get FJ right.
Imagine how the picture would change if Aarin had, oh, $600 less. Suddenly, Aarin can only double to $14000. Sallie can make the $2200 wager and only risk dropping down to a tiebreaker with Aarin in the unlikely event that Sallie misses FJ, Aarin gets it right, and Aarin bets it all. That's a much better position to be in.
This is all academic, of course, for all kinds of reasons. Those include, but are not limited to:
1. We can't really arrive at Aarin's "correct" score by taking $600 away from her pre-FJ total. Long after gaining the $600, Aarin landed on the last DD, bet $1000, and got it right. It is impossible to predict how her bet might have differed that late in the game if she'd had $6600 instead of $7200. Hence, there's no way to tell what her pre-FJ score "should" be.
2. For FJ, Aarin actually wagered $6000, so Sallie could have won on a TS using either suggested strategy.
3. Sallie did not recognize her situation and over-wagered. There's no reason to suppose a $600 change in Aarin's score would have changed Sallie's wager dramatically.
4. John did not know how to make the minimum shutout bet and went with $5000. He underwagered. (Or he's very very good at psyching out his opponents' betting strategies.) He'd have won on this triple stumper even if Sallie had made the $2200 bet. Given John's actual bet, Sallie needed to wager less than $200 to win on a TS. Or she needed to wager at least $9801--$801
more than her actual bet--to beat John on a double or triple get.
So in the end, it didn't matter. "No harm, no foul" as Alex erroneously says when all three contestants buzz in and give a wrong response. Say, that's
another pet peeve....
)
