FJs for the 10/15/18 week
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- Lefty
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
Tombaugh and underworld were equally helpful. Peter Pan is supercanonical, so I got to Tinker Bell very quickly. I didn't know she was two words, but I think I knew there is no "e" at the end.
I knew Little Sorrel was Stonewall Jackson's favorite mount. I guessed it referred to his color, and plants seemed the likeliest source for a color name; a la "chestnut". Anyway, there were only three possibilities. Better odds than the lottery. I might have gone for a dollar ticket, but two dollars you can rub together.
NHOX.
I checked "sound the l in none" but I may give balm (and calm) just the hint of one. Certainly I don't sound it as "bomb". More like "Baum", if we're not trying to sound German. And not in calf or calves, but probably in calving. I guess I'd know better if I farmed more, or exercised.
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
Close to 50% on a one in three guess doesn't seem that bad to me.TenPoundHammer wrote: ↑Sat Oct 20, 2018 11:23 pm Under 50%, and there's a valid argument for more than one correct response. Yeah, I think the writers screwed the pooch on that $200 box.
- alietr
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
As I said in the game thread, "underworld" got me to the right answer on Tuesday at the last second. That was the only FJ clue this week that posed a challenge.
Red Sorrel did seem quite tough for the top box, but of course I'd say that, as someone who missed it.
I add the hint of an "L"-sound to "balm" and "caulk," and I am surprised to learn that some people don't do so.
- AFRET CMS
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
I think this may the first time I've had two perfect FJ weeks in a row since I joined the board. My nemesis of pop music struck again to keep my from going eight-for-eight.
Guess I had never really thought too much about my pronunciation of "silent Ls" before this week. In the pronunciation I learend, "chalk" rhymes with "chock," but "caulk" and "balm" don't rhyme with "clock" and "bomb." The L isn't specifically voiced, but instead has a back-of-the-throat inflection that makes "caulk" rhyme with "hawk" instead of "clock." Wonder if a big regional difference will show up in the poll.
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- ElendilPickle
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
I don't play the lottery, but I have sold many, many, many Mega Millions and Powerball tickets the last couple of days. One of my customers bought me a Mega Millions ticket last night, though.
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
Count me in on the judo guessers.
Shocked at the TS to babushka.
As for the Powerball and Mega Millions drawings, pot odds say you should play when the prize hits $650 million.
Shocked at the TS to babushka.
As for the Powerball and Mega Millions drawings, pot odds say you should play when the prize hits $650 million.
- Wpwells
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
Would've gotten Pluto either way.
I say the L in balm, caulk, and chalk.
Didn't buy a ticket (the lottery is a tax on people who are bad at math )
- twelvefootboy
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
Agree 100% - I don't think our Governments should be in the business of robbing citizens. Leave that to private enterprise - but tax it and regulate it.
I assumed the expected value goes positive with jumbo jackpots, but maybe not:
https://www.businessinsider.com/mega-mi ... et-2018-10
I disagree with the tax assumptions, but this drawing may be at least an even break. Buy a dream for 2 bucks and enjoy the wait .
I bought tickets for all my co-workers the first time when it hit a billion. Just to say I gave them all a billion dollars. The novelty is gone now, I'll wait for the 1 trillion dollar level now.
The REALLY bad mathematicians - those silly people who "pool" tickets when they otherwise wouldn't play alone for 50 million.
Disclaimer - repeated exposure to author's musings may cause befuddlement.
- alietr
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
I must disagree. There's a substantial difference between having 1 chance to win $50 million and 10 chances to win 1/10 of $500 million. Pooling is definitely the way to go on large payouts, especially given the very, very long odds.twelvefootboy wrote: ↑Mon Oct 22, 2018 12:42 pm The REALLY bad mathematicians - those silly people who "pool" tickets when they otherwise wouldn't play alone for 50 million.
- AFRET CMS
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
The "raw" odds, perhaps, though my hunch is that factoring in the probability of multiple winners splitting the pot would reduce the expected value to the point where it would still be a negative return.
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- AFRET CMS
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
Or be selfish and just buy ten tickets just for yourself. As long as you don't do what my aunt did.
The lottery hit a big number several years ago and my aunt and uncle decided to make a rare purchase. My uncle suggested ten tickets, one with "meaningful" numbers like children's ages and so on. He told my aunt to "let the computer pick the other nine."
Guess he wasn't clear enough -- he and my aunt selected the specific numbers for the one ticket, then my aunt went to the convenience store and bought ten tickets. All of them with those numbers.
I'm not the defending Jeopardy! champion. But I have played one on TV.
- SenseiCAY
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
First time in awhile getting all 5 - Tinkerbell and St. Petersburg were sort of wild educated guesses.
- Volante
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
The only way to win at the Lottery is to beat them at their own game, but after this, Virginia, and I bet everyone else, got wise...twelvefootboy wrote: ↑Mon Oct 22, 2018 12:42 pmAgree 100% - I don't think our Governments should be in the business of robbing citizens. Leave that to private enterprise - but tax it and regulate it.
I assumed the expected value goes positive with jumbo jackpots, but maybe not:
https://www.businessinsider.com/mega-mi ... et-2018-10
https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/ ... d6590dc70/
That means the bold gamble by the group -- which includes about 2,500 investors -- to buy out the record Feb. 15 drawing has paid off, even though the syndicate fell short of purchasing all 7 million possible ticket combinations.
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
That is an actuarial edge to the pool I hadn't thought of. It's still 10 chances to lose 10 bucks to me, lol.. I haven't tried to keep up with the amount that the risk inverts. I think the article I linked was not completely objective.
The states got their money in the earlier rounds so they are already paid. To me, the danger of the pools is for normal people to think of this as an "investment".
That is funny. but at most it was a nine dollar mistake. That's a good price for a cute story . Think about if they'd won on it and some hapless bloke got a 1/11th payout on the same numbers.AFRET CMS wrote: ↑Mon Oct 22, 2018 1:04 pm Or be selfish and just buy ten tickets just for yourself. As long as you don't do what my aunt did.
Guess he wasn't clear enough -- he and my aunt selected the specific numbers for the one ticket, then my aunt went to the convenience store and bought ten tickets. All of them with those numbers.
This topic reminds me of a article I read a while back about not playing certain digits matching dates up to 31 and some other common non-random combinations due to reduced payouts from multiple winners.
Disclaimer - repeated exposure to author's musings may cause befuddlement.
- econgator
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Re: FJs for the 10/15/18 week
I remember years ago when the FL lottery first broke $100M, they said that the most commonly picked combo was 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6.twelvefootboy wrote: ↑Mon Oct 22, 2018 10:56 pm This topic reminds me of a article I read a while back about not playing certain digits matching dates up to 31 and some other common non-random combinations due to reduced payouts from multiple winners.
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