There is none. But she can't assume Jonathan will bet anything more than 4,800 no more than she can assume he will double his total. So I don't recommend that she bet 9601 even though she should bet to cover. With third place unable to steal, I think there's a case for betting everything because that's $9,600 more in her pocket if she wins and a high likelihood that Jonathan has guaranteed the win if she misses.opusthepenguin wrote: ↑Tue Nov 06, 2018 10:53 amFor that to be true, there would have to be situations where my bet loses and Mary Ann's wins and vice versa, depending on what Jonathan bets and who gets FJ. Play with the numbers and see if you're right. Here's the situation going into FJ:
Jonathan Greenan: 14400
Mary Ann Borer: 19200
To make things easy (because this is actually a special situation where one can think strategically about tying, but let's ignore that) I'll recommend that Mary Ann bet $9601.
Mary Ann actually bet $19000.
The challenge: Find me a situation where Mary Ann would have won with her bet but lost with mine.
We also don't know how she feels about the FJ category.
I do, however, fail to see any strategy behind Jonathan's bet of 5,000, even though it would have won in the double-miss, but with your Mary Ann bet, it wouldn't. The range at which this makes a difference seems dependent on Jonathan not acting in his best interest. Either he wants to mostly ensure the double-miss or he doesn't.